Flood Risk and Salience: New Evidence from the Sunshine State

A growing literature finds evidence that flood risk salience varies over time, spiking directly following a flood and then falling off individuals' cognitive radar in the following years. In this article, we provide new evidence of salience exploiting a hurricane cluster impacting Florida that was preceded and followed by periods of unusual calm. Utilizing residential property sales across the state from 2002 through 2012, our main estimate finds a salience impact of ?8%, on average. The salience effect persists when we base estimation only on spatial variation in prices to limit confounding from other simultaneous changes due to shifting hedonic equilibria over time. These effects range from housing prices decreases of 5.4–12.3% depending on the year of sale. Understanding flood risk salience has important implications for flood insurance and disaster policy, the benefits transfer literature, and, more broadly, our understanding of natural disaster resilience. JEL Classification: Q51, Q54, R21     

自动涂胶系统胶枪的热分析

为研究自动涂胶系统的胶枪最优材质、最佳热源位置和最佳测温位置,利用ANSYS Workbench软件对自粘胶胶枪进行数值模拟.通过分析不同材质胶枪的温度场分布情况,结合经济性和加热性能,选定最优胶枪基材.同时分析得出加热自粘胶至工作温度的时间和保持工作温度的加热功率,确定了热源和测温点位置,拟定了升温策略.进行自粘胶胶枪加热试验,验证了仿真分析结果的准确性.     

Further Mining the Predictability of Moving Averages: Evidence from the US Stock Market

Most studies on the predictability of moving average (MA) technical analysis use the discrete (buy/sell) trading recommendations. However, it is possibly incomplete or unreliable to explore the predictability of MA by only employing its generated trading signals. To further explore the forecastability of MA, we study its measurable impact on the stock market returns by using a conventional predictive regression framework. Our empirical study on the US stock market with respect to more detailed price information finds, (i) that the proposed predictor, MADP (MA based on daily prices) shows significant predictability in‐ and out‐of‐sample, and significantly outperforms the historical average (HA) benchmark as well as the MA based on monthly prices, (ii) that the predictability of MADP centers on the short‐term lags (within the most recent 10 days) and disappears when lags are beyond 20 days, and (iii) that the economic evaluation of the portfolios based on trading strategies confirms the superior performance of MADP with short‐term lags against the benchmark even though considering transaction costs.     

我国商业银行与外资银行合作探讨

在国际金融业并购的背景下，中国银行业面临入世后的竞争压力，吸收外资不仅能增强国内商业银行实力，更重要的是能给银行带来了先进的管理理念，把国内商业银行日益改造成符合国际标准的银行；对外资银行而言，与中资银行合作乃绕过管制，低成本向中国市场扩张，实现本土化发展战略的最佳选择。     

生命周期评价方法及其应用

介绍了生命周期评价的目的、意义和基本方法，并运用该方法对燃煤发电、废纸造纸、废旧塑料气化发电等几种不同工业过程的环境影响进行了分析。     

谈谈情，跳跳舞

上半身保持不动．据说这样体现了西班牙人的高贵．腰胯部的扭动则来源于热情奔放的非洲。而腿脚的动作印证着印第安人的文化。     

广西企业开拓东盟市场的问题与对策

广西企业进入东盟市场的形式多样,品种多类,并取得了较好的经济效益和社会效益,同时也遇到不少难题.广西企业开拓东盟市场的关键在于国家外交、财政和金融上扶持,总体战略规划上引导,在信息和融资及市场渠道的建设给予帮助,在国家双边或多边市场准入制度给予协调,同时对区内企业行为进行规范自律等.     

商业银行中间业务在我国欠发达城市的战略选择

我国商业银行中间业务的发展远落后于西方发达国家,而欠发达城市的状况更差.面对外资银行的进入,体现核心竞争力的中间业务成为商业银行发展的必然选择,但目前对欠发达城市商业银行中间业务的研究甚少.本文在分析了我国欠发达城市商业银行中间业务的现状和缺陷后,对它的发展提出了一些战略性的建议.     

Rural taxation and government regulation in China

This paper places the problem of Chinese rural taxation in the context of government regulation and seeks to present an integrated theoretical framework of Chinese rural development in the past two decades. Our theoretical framework reconciles the seemingly contradictory facts that the average level of rural taxation relative to rural net income did not increase quickly from 1990, but rural taxation became a very serious problem in this period. Our findings suggest that this is in large part due to increases in rural income disparity from 1990 and uneven tax distribution among different income groups. We argue that differentiated enforcement of government regulations such as grain procurement and birth control play an important role in the rural taxation problem, and more generally, the problem of local government expansion and rising rural income disparity. The empirical findings support our hypotheses.